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2022-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 12.5% 87.5% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 21.1% 78.9% - ✗
Margin 12.8% 87.2% +10.6 ✗ (28.6 off)
Pythagorean 58.8% 41.2% - ✓
Efficiency 73.8% 26.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 69.3% 30.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 69.2% 30.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 59.7% 40.3% - ✓

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -18 (116-134). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terry Rozier * 32 11-17 4-8 4-4 6 4 2 0 30 - -
Miles Bridges * 30 11-15 5-6 0-0 3 6 1 0 27 - -
P.J. Washington * 30 3-9 0-3 0-0 5 1 2 0 6 - -
LaMelo Ball * 29 6-13 5-8 4-4 4 7 2 0 21 - -
Mason Plumlee * 28 2-3 0-0 1-3 11 8 1 4 5 - -
Cody Martin 21 4-6 1-1 2-2 0 0 3 0 11 - -
Montrezl Harrell 17 1-2 0-0 3-3 0 2 0 1 5 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 16 4-9 1-4 2-5 4 1 1 1 11 - -
Isaiah Thomas 16 4-10 4-4 0-0 1 4 0 1 12 - -
Jalen McDaniels 13 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Nick Richards 1 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
JT Thor 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 36 12-20 3-7 5-5 8 5 0 0 32 - -
Darius Bazley * 35 10-18 4-9 1-2 4 4 0 0 25 - -
Olivier Sarr * 32 2-5 0-1 3-4 7 3 0 1 7 - -
Theo Maledon * 30 2-9 0-4 2-2 7 4 1 0 6 - -
Tre Mann * 29 4-12 3-6 2-2 5 6 1 0 13 - -
Aleksej Pokusevski 27 6-11 2-5 3-4 5 5 0 0 17 - -
Lindy Waters III 24 2-8 0-6 0-0 6 2 2 1 4 - -
Vit Krejci 15 4-7 4-6 0-0 3 2 0 0 12 - -
Isaiah Roby 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 - -

* = starter