Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Philadelphia 76ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.3% | 43.7% | -1.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -4 (110-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 33 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 33 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 31 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 20 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 31 | 7-14 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 22 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| DeMarcus Cousins | 14 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 12 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Maxey * | 41 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| James Harden * | 39 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 11-12 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Tobias Harris * | 37 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Joel Embiid * | 36 | 11-20 | 3-3 | 9-10 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 34 | - | - | |
| Matisse Thybulle * | 26 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 25 | 2-12 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Danny Green | 14 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Shake Milton | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter