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2022-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 56.3% 43.7% -
Bradley-Terry 35.1% 64.9% -
Margin 23.7% 76.3% +6.4 (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 30.4% 69.6% -
Efficiency 13.8% 86.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.8% 84.2% -
Log Adjusted 15.7% 84.3% -
Points Off/Def 22.1% 77.9% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +9 (122-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Hart * 38 11-21 4-7 5-7 7 4 0 0 31 - -
Trendon Watford * 38 9-19 2-4 2-2 9 2 0 4 22 - -
Brandon Williams * 35 8-17 2-6 2-5 3 6 1 1 20 - -
CJ Elleby * 29 1-2 0-1 4-4 13 5 0 0 6 - -
Drew Eubanks * 29 7-10 0-1 2-2 10 2 1 1 16 - -
Keon Johnson 22 3-8 0-1 0-1 5 1 0 1 6 - -
Kris Dunn 19 1-6 0-1 0-0 5 3 2 0 2 - -
Elijah Hughes 13 3-4 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 8 - -
Greg Brown III 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 2 2 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 38 15-31 5-14 11-11 6 12 1 0 46 - -
Kevin Huerter * 35 6-15 2-9 0-0 4 2 0 1 14 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 33 6-17 3-9 5-6 3 0 2 2 20 - -
Delon Wright * 30 0-3 0-2 4-4 4 4 3 1 4 - -
Clint Capela * 28 4-12 0-0 0-0 16 0 1 2 8 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 23 2-13 1-8 4-4 3 6 2 0 9 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 19 3-5 0-0 6-7 7 0 1 0 12 - -
Lou Williams 15 2-6 0-2 0-0 1 3 3 0 4 - -
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot 7 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Kevin Knox II 6 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter