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2022-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 15.6% 84.4% -
Bradley-Terry 30.3% 69.7% -
Margin 23.6% 76.4% +6.5 (22.5 off)
Pythagorean 34.6% 65.4% -
Efficiency 16.7% 83.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.5% 82.5% -
Log Adjusted 17.5% 82.5% -
Points Off/Def 23.6% 76.4% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +29 (140-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 30 10-20 5-11 6-7 7 6 0 1 31 - -
Russell Westbrook * 28 5-10 0-2 3-4 2 2 0 0 13 - -
Malik Monk * 27 5-10 2-4 1-1 4 4 1 0 13 - -
Austin Reaves * 25 2-4 1-2 5-6 4 0 1 0 10 - -
Stanley Johnson * 10 0-2 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Avery Bradley 25 3-5 3-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 9 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 22 1-8 0-4 1-2 2 3 0 1 3 - -
Carmelo Anthony 18 6-11 4-7 2-4 1 1 0 0 18 - -
Dwight Howard 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 12 1-3 0-0 3-5 3 2 0 0 5 - -
D.J. Augustin 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 - -
Wayne Ellington 8 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 5 - -
Kent Bazemore 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 31 12-25 4-10 2-2 2 10 4 0 30 - -
Mikal Bridges * 29 8-13 1-2 1-1 6 3 1 0 18 - -
Jae Crowder * 28 4-10 3-8 0-0 5 1 2 2 11 - -
Deandre Ayton * 27 11-14 0-1 1-1 16 2 1 0 23 - -
Cameron Payne * 23 4-10 1-3 0-0 4 11 0 0 9 - -
Aaron Holiday 24 4-9 1-3 3-3 4 5 4 0 12 - -
Torrey Craig 19 5-8 1-3 0-0 8 0 0 1 11 - -
Landry Shamet 15 2-3 1-2 1-1 1 2 0 0 6 - -
Ish Wainright 12 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 - -
Bismack Biyombo 10 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 3 - -
JaVale McGee 9 4-4 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 1 10 - -
Elfrid Payton 7 3-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 6 - -

* = starter