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2022-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 12.1% 87.9% -
Bradley-Terry 38.7% 61.3% -
Margin 35.7% 64.3% +3.2 (10.2 off)
Pythagorean 65.5% 34.5% -
Efficiency 84.5% 15.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 83.4% 16.6% -
Log Adjusted 83.5% 16.5% -
Points Off/Def 72.9% 27.1% -

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -7 (118-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 33 7-14 0-2 3-5 5 10 0 0 17 - -
Desmond Bane * 31 7-15 3-5 4-4 8 2 1 0 21 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 29 5-13 2-4 6-6 5 2 0 1 18 - -
Dillon Brooks * 25 6-14 1-3 2-2 2 4 1 0 15 - -
Steven Adams * 24 4-7 0-1 1-1 16 2 0 1 9 - -
Brandon Clarke 22 5-8 0-0 2-2 10 0 1 1 12 - -
Ziaire Williams 21 4-8 3-5 0-0 3 3 1 1 11 - -
Kyle Anderson 18 3-6 0-1 0-0 6 2 1 1 6 - -
Tyus Jones 17 5-9 2-4 0-0 2 3 3 0 12 - -
De'Anthony Melton 14 2-8 0-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 4 - -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Bazley * 38 11-19 3-7 4-8 10 2 1 1 29 - -
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 37 9-20 1-5 12-12 6 7 2 3 31 - -
Tre Mann * 35 5-14 3-7 2-2 2 5 0 1 15 - -
Theo Maledon * 25 3-11 2-7 1-2 5 4 1 0 9 - -
Isaiah Roby * 16 2-7 0-3 2-2 4 0 0 0 6 - -
Lindy Waters III 29 6-11 4-9 0-0 2 3 2 1 16 - -
Aleksej Pokusevski 20 4-10 0-1 2-2 8 1 0 1 10 - -
Vit Krejci 20 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 1 0 - -
Olivier Sarr 15 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 - -

* = starter