Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.4% | 44.6% | -1.2 | ✗ (26.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +25 (130-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrison Mathews * | 28 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 27 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 26 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood * | 25 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 19 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 26 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 26 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 21 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun | 14 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| David Nwaba | 13 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 3-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naji Marshall * | 37 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 29 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham * | 27 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes * | 26 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 7-9 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 26 | 12-18 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| Jose Alvarado | 30 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Trey Murphy III | 21 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tyrone Wallace | 19 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Willy Hernangomez | 17 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Alize Johnson | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter