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2022-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 23.4% 76.6% -
Bradley-Terry 38.3% 61.7% -
Margin 34.9% 65.1% +3.4 (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 40.3% 59.7% -
Efficiency 28.5% 71.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.8% 68.2% -
Log Adjusted 31.8% 68.2% -
Points Off/Def 32.3% 67.7% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +3 (131-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Haliburton * 40 9-15 3-5 4-4 2 10 1 0 25 - -
Buddy Hield * 39 9-20 2-7 5-6 4 5 1 0 25 - -
Oshae Brissett * 28 5-8 3-5 2-4 4 2 1 0 15 - -
Isaiah Jackson * 27 4-9 1-1 3-4 15 0 1 2 12 - -
Terry Taylor * 24 6-8 1-2 3-4 4 0 0 0 16 - -
Duane Washington Jr. 34 8-17 4-9 2-2 3 3 1 0 22 - -
Jalen Smith 27 5-9 1-4 2-2 10 2 2 2 13 - -
Keifer Sykes 17 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Andre Hunter * 36 5-10 3-4 2-2 1 2 0 0 15 - -
Trae Young * 35 13-20 7-10 14-14 3 5 2 0 47 - -
Kevin Huerter * 34 5-11 4-9 0-0 3 1 2 0 14 - -
Danilo Gallinari * 27 6-10 1-3 2-2 5 5 0 0 15 - -
Clint Capela * 21 5-5 0-0 0-0 6 3 3 1 10 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 31 4-12 2-9 3-3 4 6 1 1 13 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 25 6-11 0-0 1-3 9 2 0 1 13 - -
Delon Wright 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 - -
Lou Williams 13 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 - -
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter