Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.0% | 81.0% | +8.0 | ✗ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boston Celtics -3 (92-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 38 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 38 | 8-16 | 4-10 | 6-6 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 37 | 5-14 | 3-6 | 5-9 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 36 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 28 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 16 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 6 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 41 | 7-23 | 3-10 | 4-5 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 35 | 6-16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 34 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III * | 34 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 33 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Derrick White | 22 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 21 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 17 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
* = starter