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2022-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 12.2% 87.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 34.0% 66.0% - ✓
Margin 31.3% 68.7% +4.3 ✓ (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 57.5% 42.5% - ✗
Efficiency 67.1% 32.9% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 65.5% 34.5% - ✗
Log Adjusted 65.6% 34.4% - ✗
Points Off/Def 56.1% 43.9% - ✗

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +9 (127-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Corey Kispert * 39 6-9 3-6 0-1 5 1 0 2 15 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 32 6-16 5-10 9-9 4 5 1 0 26 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 30 7-17 4-8 4-4 3 3 0 1 22 - -
Raul Neto * 17 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 5 1 1 4 - -
Daniel Gafford * 14 5-6 0-0 4-4 4 0 0 0 14 - -
Ish Smith 25 5-7 0-1 0-0 4 5 1 0 10 - -
Thomas Bryant 22 2-4 0-1 5-5 4 1 0 3 9 - -
Rui Hachimura 17 4-7 2-4 2-2 2 0 1 0 12 - -
Tomas Satoransky 15 0-5 0-2 0-0 4 4 2 1 0 - -
Deni Avdija 13 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -
Anthony Gill 11 2-4 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 6 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Williams * 39 4-15 1-5 1-2 5 4 1 1 10 - -
Trendon Watford * 38 11-16 0-2 5-5 6 3 2 0 27 - -
Drew Eubanks * 38 9-14 0-1 2-2 12 3 0 1 20 - -
CJ Elleby * 36 4-9 1-3 1-1 5 2 1 0 10 - -
Josh Hart * 35 15-21 6-9 8-8 8 6 4 0 44 - -
Greg Brown III 16 3-6 1-2 2-2 3 0 1 1 9 - -
Ben McLemore 15 0-7 0-5 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 - -
Keon Johnson 14 2-5 2-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 6 - -
Elijah Hughes 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter