Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.7% | 72.3% | +5.3 | ✗ (17.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -12 (115-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 39 | 11-20 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 35 | 12-22 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 31 | 2-13 | 1-6 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Armoni Brooks * | 21 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa * | 20 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 29 | 8-15 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 21 | - | - | |
| Thaddeus Young | 22 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Khem Birch | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dalano Banton | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Svi Mykhailiuk | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Yuta Watanabe | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barton * | 32 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 30 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 26 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 27 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 24 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 24 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 20 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 19 | 6-12 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| DeMarcus Cousins | 16 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 15 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter