Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.0% | 69.0% | +4.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +13 (122-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khris Middleton * | 35 | 6-19 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 34 | 9-17 | 1-4 | 12-18 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 26 | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 33 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 28 | 4-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - | |
| Bobby Portis * | 21 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 25 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 23 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Serge Ibaka | 17 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| DeAndre' Bembry | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Poole * | 35 | 9-16 | 5-10 | 7-7 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 26 | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 35 | 8-16 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 33 | 15-24 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 27 | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 33 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 28 | 6-16 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - | |
| Moses Moody | 17 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Damion Lee | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Chris Chiozza | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | |
| Quinndary Weatherspoon | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter