Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.5% | 50.5% | +0.1 | ✗ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -9 (104-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards * | 36 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 33 | 3-13 | 1-6 | 7-7 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley * | 30 | 4-9 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 25 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 23 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 23 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Taurean Prince | 22 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Nowell | 21 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 37 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 4-6 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 33 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent * | 25 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 16 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 36 | 8-19 | 6-10 | 8-8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 31 | 6-12 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 17 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter