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2022-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 24.7% 75.3% -
Bradley-Terry 33.2% 66.8% -
Margin 29.0% 71.0% +4.9 (9.9 off)
Pythagorean 42.1% 57.9% -
Efficiency 29.8% 70.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.6% 67.4% -
Log Adjusted 32.5% 67.5% -
Points Off/Def 34.2% 65.8% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns -5 (112-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gary Trent Jr. * 40 13-21 8-11 8-8 8 1 0 0 42 - -
Pascal Siakam * 40 10-24 2-5 3-4 7 10 1 0 25 - -
Fred VanVleet * 37 3-11 2-8 2-2 8 4 0 1 10 - -
Scottie Barnes * 36 7-17 1-3 0-0 6 1 5 2 15 - -
Khem Birch * 26 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 4 - -
Thaddeus Young 19 2-5 0-1 1-1 3 1 2 0 5 - -
Precious Achiuwa 16 3-8 1-2 4-4 7 0 1 0 11 - -
Chris Boucher 12 2-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 1 4 - -
Dalano Banton 9 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 1 0 1 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cameron Payne * 37 9-18 3-9 3-4 7 4 2 0 24 - -
Mikal Bridges * 37 7-16 2-6 2-2 7 1 0 1 18 - -
Devin Booker * 36 9-18 3-7 1-2 3 7 1 1 22 - -
Deandre Ayton * 30 8-11 0-1 0-0 7 2 0 0 16 - -
Jae Crowder * 24 5-9 2-4 1-1 4 3 2 0 13 - -
Landry Shamet 21 1-5 0-4 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 - -
JaVale McGee 17 1-3 0-0 1-2 8 1 0 4 3 - -
Torrey Craig 13 1-4 0-3 1-2 1 4 0 0 3 - -
Aaron Holiday 10 2-3 1-2 2-2 1 2 1 0 7 - -
Bismack Biyombo 10 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 2 4 - -

* = starter