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2022-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 47.0% 53.0% -
Bradley-Terry 40.6% 59.4% -
Margin 40.0% 60.0% +2.2 (24.2 off)
Pythagorean 47.6% 52.4% -
Efficiency 50.5% 49.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.1% 53.9% -
Log Adjusted 45.9% 54.1% -
Points Off/Def 43.5% 56.5% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -22 (120-142). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terry Rozier * 33 9-17 7-13 0-0 3 8 2 0 25 - -
LaMelo Ball * 31 6-12 2-7 3-4 6 9 3 0 17 - -
Miles Bridges * 29 9-15 4-8 4-5 8 9 1 0 26 - -
P.J. Washington * 24 2-5 2-4 0-0 1 5 0 0 6 - -
Mason Plumlee * 20 4-4 0-0 1-1 2 3 2 1 9 - -
Cody Martin 28 6-7 1-2 2-3 5 4 1 0 15 - -
Montrezl Harrell 22 7-9 0-0 2-3 6 2 1 0 16 - -
Jalen McDaniels 16 0-3 0-2 4-4 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Isaiah Thomas 16 5-8 4-6 0-0 1 0 1 0 14 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 14 4-7 2-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 10 - -
Nick Richards 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
JT Thor 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaxson Hayes * 34 4-10 1-3 4-4 5 2 0 1 13 - -
Herbert Jones * 33 3-6 0-2 6-8 2 8 1 0 12 - -
Devonte' Graham * 33 7-14 4-10 1-1 4 7 3 0 19 - -
Naji Marshall * 28 5-10 2-6 2-2 4 7 3 0 14 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 25 4-12 0-1 2-2 8 1 1 0 10 - -
Trey Murphy III 28 12-20 7-12 1-2 9 2 0 0 32 - -
Jose Alvarado 21 2-7 1-4 0-2 2 3 0 0 5 - -
Willy Hernangomez 21 6-6 0-0 3-4 6 1 1 1 15 - -
Tony Snell 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter