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2022-03-12

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 54.1% 45.9% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 42.1% 57.9% - ✓
Margin 36.0% 64.0% +3.2 ✓ (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 41.4% 58.6% - ✓
Efficiency 28.5% 71.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 29.9% 70.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 29.8% 70.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 31.4% 68.6% - ✓

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +4 (118-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 40 11-27 3-6 11-13 12 6 2 2 36 - -
RJ Barrett * 39 9-25 1-6 4-7 7 2 1 0 23 - -
Alec Burks * 35 6-11 2-5 4-5 6 5 1 0 18 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 33 5-8 0-0 0-2 16 4 3 4 10 - -
Evan Fournier * 29 3-8 3-7 3-3 4 4 0 0 12 - -
Immanuel Quickley 30 3-8 1-1 4-5 4 2 1 0 11 - -
Taj Gibson 15 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Miles McBride 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jericho Sims 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 37 14-33 1-4 8-10 4 8 2 1 37 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 27 4-9 2-4 3-3 4 1 0 5 13 - -
Desmond Bane * 27 4-15 2-6 2-4 5 1 2 0 12 - -
Steven Adams * 24 2-7 0-0 2-4 9 0 1 1 6 - -
Ziaire Williams * 23 5-9 3-7 0-0 3 1 0 0 13 - -
Brandon Clarke 25 5-8 0-0 0-0 8 0 2 4 10 - -
Tyus Jones 19 4-6 1-1 2-4 4 4 0 0 11 - -
Kyle Anderson 18 3-4 0-0 0-3 9 3 1 2 6 - -
De'Anthony Melton 18 3-9 0-4 0-1 2 3 0 3 6 - -
John Konchar 16 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 4 - -

* = starter