Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.6% | 50.4% | +0.1 | ✗ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -13 (100-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Bullock * | 36 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 35 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 35 | 9-19 | 5-11 | 7-10 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 30 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 33 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 31 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 26 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 22 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 21 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenyon Martin Jr. * | 30 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 26 | 7-11 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 26 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 19 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 25 | 8-17 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder | 24 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 23 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 22 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| David Nwaba | 15 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
* = starter