Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.5% | 45.5% | -1.0 | ✗ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +12 (117-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Garland * | 36 | 4-17 | 1-6 | 15-16 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Evan Mobley * | 34 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Lauri Markkanen * | 31 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Isaac Okoro * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dean Wade * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love | 21 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Lamar Stevens | 18 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 16 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Rajon Rondo | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Ed Davis | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Brandon Goodwin | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| RJ Nembhard Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 33 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 10-12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 32 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 32 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 23 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 33 | 8-15 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 18 | 6-13 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Victor Oladipo | 17 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter