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2022-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 46.9% 53.1% -
Bradley-Terry 23.8% 76.2% -
Margin 12.3% 87.7% +10.8 (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 28.9% 71.1% -
Efficiency 8.1% 91.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.7% 90.3% -
Log Adjusted 9.7% 90.3% -
Points Off/Def 17.7% 82.3% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +11 (114-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Saddiq Bey * 40 3-7 1-4 2-2 5 6 0 0 9 13 -
Cade Cunningham * 40 10-27 3-10 4-4 8 6 0 0 27 14 -
Jerami Grant * 37 6-17 3-9 5-5 4 0 1 3 20 11 -
Marvin Bagley III * 33 9-15 0-2 2-2 11 1 2 0 20 19 -
Cory Joseph * 31 1-4 1-3 4-5 3 6 0 0 7 12 -
Saben Lee 17 1-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 -
Isaiah Livers 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 2 -
Kelly Olynyk 12 1-1 0-0 4-4 1 2 1 0 6 9 -
Jamorko Pickett 10 3-4 2-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 8 7 -
Luka Garza 1 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 4 4 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 37 13-27 2-9 3-3 8 6 1 0 31 19 -
Robert Williams III * 33 5-7 0-0 2-4 9 3 1 1 12 19 -
Jaylen Brown * 33 8-22 1-8 5-7 8 4 1 0 22 13 -
Marcus Smart * 32 6-10 2-3 6-7 3 5 5 0 20 23 -
Al Horford * 29 3-8 0-4 0-0 7 1 0 0 6 6 -
Derrick White 23 4-7 1-3 2-2 4 1 1 1 11 11 -
Grant Williams 18 2-4 0-2 3-3 3 2 0 0 7 8 -
Payton Pritchard 13 1-2 0-1 2-2 2 0 1 0 4 5 -
Daniel Theis 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 4 -
Nik Stauskas 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
Kelan Martin 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Malik Fitts 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Sam Hauser 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter