Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.3% | 54.7% | +1.0 | ✗ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -11 (102-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 37 | 11-21 | 5-12 | 7-7 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 34 | 27 | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 33 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 33 | 7-20 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 6 | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 27 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - | |
| Moses Moody * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 34 | 8-13 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 20 | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 21 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 9 | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Damion Lee | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon * | 31 | 2-11 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 31 | 9-21 | 0-8 | 5-6 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 25 | - | |
| Austin Rivers * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 30 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 21 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 17 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - | |
| Davon Reed | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - | |
| DeMarcus Cousins | 13 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Markus Howard | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter