Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.6% | 34.4% | -3.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -6 (100-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 35 | 15-24 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 38 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers * | 31 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 29 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed * | 22 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 18 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 16 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| DeMarcus Cousins | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 39 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 4-6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 36 | 12-23 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 34 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday * | 31 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Alex Len * | 10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones | 37 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 20 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 18 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 11 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter