Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.6% | 55.4% | +1.2 | ✗ (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -15 (104-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 37 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Scottie Barnes * | 34 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 34 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 33 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 9-10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Khem Birch * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dalano Banton | 21 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 21 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Thaddeus Young | 19 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Armoni Brooks | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Svi Mykhailiuk | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaac Bonga | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Yuta Watanabe | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 35 | 10-19 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 34 | 9-17 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 9 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 33 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 28 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott * | 23 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 26 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 20 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 18 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Joe Wieskamp | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter