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2022-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 19.2% 80.8% -
Bradley-Terry 48.5% 51.5% -
Margin 44.6% 55.4% +1.2 (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 58.5% 41.5% -
Efficiency 69.2% 30.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 69.7% 30.3% -
Log Adjusted 69.8% 30.2% -
Points Off/Def 59.3% 40.7% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -6 (108-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 41 12-25 0-1 12-13 8 4 2 0 36 - -
Zach LaVine * 37 7-14 1-7 10-11 5 1 1 0 25 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 36 4-6 0-1 1-2 4 7 3 0 9 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 29 8-11 0-1 5-5 6 2 2 0 21 - -
Javonte Green * 16 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 3 0 4 - -
Coby White 28 3-9 2-3 0-0 5 3 0 0 8 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 22 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 6 - -
Tristan Thompson 18 1-4 0-0 3-4 4 1 1 0 5 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 35 9-15 2-3 2-2 4 6 0 0 22 - -
Saddiq Bey * 33 4-12 2-8 2-3 2 6 0 0 12 - -
Jerami Grant * 32 4-10 1-5 3-5 3 2 2 1 12 - -
Marvin Bagley III * 27 4-8 1-2 1-2 6 1 0 0 10 - -
Cory Joseph * 26 4-5 1-2 0-0 2 2 1 1 9 - -
Saben Lee 20 4-8 0-0 2-2 2 3 0 1 10 - -
Kelly Olynyk 20 4-9 1-5 3-3 4 4 0 0 12 - -
Isaiah Livers 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Hamidou Diallo 14 5-8 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 10 - -
Rodney McGruder 13 3-5 3-5 0-0 2 0 1 0 9 - -

* = starter