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2022-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 75.5% 24.5% -
Bradley-Terry 73.3% 26.7% -
Margin 84.4% 15.6% -9.3 (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 54.9% 45.1% -
Efficiency 68.8% 31.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.8% 29.2% -
Log Adjusted 71.0% 29.0% -
Points Off/Def 59.7% 40.3% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets -14 (101-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 37 16-24 6-9 6-6 5 3 3 1 44 32 -
Jaylen Brown * 36 6-16 1-8 2-5 5 5 0 0 15 9 -
Al Horford * 34 4-8 2-4 0-0 10 3 3 0 10 18 -
Marcus Smart * 31 6-12 0-1 0-0 3 9 0 0 12 12 -
Robert Williams III * 19 5-7 0-0 1-1 11 1 1 2 11 19 -
Grant Williams 31 3-8 1-5 0-0 8 0 1 1 7 9 -
Derrick White 31 5-11 1-5 0-0 3 8 2 3 11 16 -
Payton Pritchard 9 1-5 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 -2 -
Daniel Theis 4 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 1 2 4 -
Nik Stauskas 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Kelan Martin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Sam Hauser 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Luke Kornet 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P.J. Washington * 41 7-12 3-8 0-0 4 1 0 2 17 12 -
Miles Bridges * 39 5-14 1-3 6-7 5 2 1 1 17 12 -
Terry Rozier * 38 5-17 2-9 2-2 1 3 5 0 14 6 -
Mason Plumlee * 30 3-3 0-0 1-4 15 6 0 3 7 28 -
LaMelo Ball * 28 6-12 0-4 3-3 8 4 0 1 15 16 -
Montrezl Harrell 16 4-7 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 0 10 10 -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 16 3-8 2-5 1-2 3 0 1 0 9 5 -
Cody Martin 15 2-6 0-2 3-5 3 0 1 0 7 5 -
Isaiah Thomas 11 1-4 0-1 3-3 0 2 0 0 5 3 -
Nick Richards 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
JT Thor 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter