Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.4% | 70.6% | +4.8 | ✗ (31.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -27 (115-142). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Nwora * | 37 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 29 | 9-17 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis * | 28 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 28 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 27 | 13-19 | 4-4 | 9-13 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 39 | - | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 25 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| DeAndre' Bembry | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Serge Ibaka | 18 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 8 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Lindell Wigginton | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 11-18 | 3-3 | 8-12 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 33 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins * | 30 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann * | 28 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby * | 26 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley * | 21 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski | 27 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 25 | 6-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Vit Krejci | 19 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Theo Maledon | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Olivier Sarr | 11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter