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2022-03-09

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 36.9% 63.1% -
Bradley-Terry 25.8% 74.2% -
Margin 15.9% 84.1% +9.2 (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 39.0% 61.0% -
Efficiency 26.1% 73.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.8% 73.2% -
Log Adjusted 26.8% 73.2% -
Points Off/Def 29.4% 70.6% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +21 (132-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 31 13-21 5-10 1-3 6 11 0 0 32 - -
Herbert Jones * 24 4-5 0-0 2-2 4 2 1 0 10 - -
Tony Snell * 22 1-6 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 2 3 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 20 4-10 0-1 2-4 2 1 0 0 10 - -
Jaxson Hayes * 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Naji Marshall 27 4-13 1-7 7-10 2 0 1 0 16 - -
Willy Hernangomez 27 7-10 0-0 3-4 9 0 1 0 17 - -
Devonte' Graham 23 4-7 4-7 0-0 3 5 0 0 12 - -
Jose Alvarado 19 2-5 0-2 1-2 3 4 4 1 5 - -
Alize Johnson 16 1-5 0-0 2-2 7 0 1 0 4 - -
Gary Clark 12 0-4 0-3 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Steven Adams * 28 2-3 0-0 0-2 5 3 1 0 4 - -
Desmond Bane * 26 8-17 5-9 1-1 5 6 0 0 22 - -
Ja Morant * 26 8-13 2-4 6-7 8 8 2 1 24 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 23 7-13 2-6 6-6 3 0 1 3 22 - -
Ziaire Williams * 21 6-9 2-3 2-3 6 1 0 0 16 - -
John Konchar 19 2-5 0-2 0-0 6 2 1 1 4 - -
De'Anthony Melton 18 4-10 4-8 2-2 4 3 1 0 14 - -
Tyus Jones 17 2-9 1-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 5 - -
Kyle Anderson 14 2-6 0-2 1-1 4 1 0 0 5 - -
Brandon Clarke 13 5-6 0-0 2-2 5 2 0 0 12 - -
Killian Tillie 8 0-5 0-5 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -
Xavier Tillman 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Yves Pons 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Jarrett Culver 6 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 - -

* = starter