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2022-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 73.1% 26.9% -
Bradley-Terry 59.5% 40.5% -
Margin 68.5% 31.5% -4.3 (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 54.2% 45.8% -
Efficiency 67.3% 32.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.9% 37.1% -
Log Adjusted 62.9% 37.1% -
Points Off/Def 54.3% 45.7% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers -3 (124-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dean Wade * 37 4-7 2-5 0-0 4 1 2 1 10 - -
Darius Garland * 37 14-26 4-9 9-9 5 13 2 0 41 - -
Evan Mobley * 36 8-15 0-1 6-8 12 3 5 1 22 - -
Isaac Okoro * 33 4-7 1-1 2-2 1 1 2 0 11 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 30 8-14 1-5 4-4 5 1 1 1 21 - -
Lamar Stevens 19 4-7 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 2 9 - -
Kevin Love 14 4-11 1-6 0-0 4 0 0 0 9 - -
Cedi Osman 11 0-4 0-4 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 - -
Rajon Rondo 10 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 4 0 1 0 - -
Ed Davis 9 1-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 4 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Buddy Hield * 38 5-6 4-4 0-0 2 8 1 1 14 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 38 9-14 4-7 3-4 4 9 2 1 25 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 36 6-15 0-2 0-0 5 12 0 0 12 - -
Oshae Brissett * 23 2-8 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 5 - -
Isaiah Jackson * 22 6-7 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 3 12 - -
Jalen Smith 28 5-9 2-4 3-4 5 0 0 1 15 - -
Goga Bitadze 18 6-10 2-4 1-2 9 3 1 1 15 - -
Duane Washington Jr. 18 6-8 2-4 1-3 0 1 0 0 15 - -
Chris Duarte 15 4-14 1-4 2-2 2 1 1 0 11 - -

* = starter