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2022-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 14.0% 86.0% -
Bradley-Terry 44.4% 55.6% -
Margin 37.9% 62.1% +2.7 (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% -
Efficiency 34.8% 65.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.3% 65.7% -
Log Adjusted 34.2% 65.8% -
Points Off/Def 34.8% 65.2% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +7 (117-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Russell Westbrook * 34 5-14 0-2 7-13 10 6 0 0 17 - -
Malik Monk * 33 8-22 1-7 0-0 5 4 3 0 17 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker * 30 7-14 1-5 3-4 4 2 1 1 18 - -
Austin Reaves * 27 6-8 1-1 0-0 6 0 0 0 13 - -
Dwight Howard * 17 4-5 0-0 1-1 6 1 0 0 9 - -
Stanley Johnson 30 3-8 1-2 0-0 3 3 2 0 7 - -
Carmelo Anthony 30 6-12 1-4 4-4 7 1 0 2 17 - -
D.J. Augustin 18 2-5 1-3 1-1 2 1 0 0 6 - -
Avery Bradley 16 2-3 2-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 6 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 37 12-20 1-5 1-2 10 8 3 1 26 - -
Keldon Johnson * 32 5-13 1-5 2-3 6 2 0 0 13 - -
Josh Richardson * 30 6-12 4-5 2-2 5 2 0 0 18 - -
Doug McDermott * 27 4-6 2-4 1-3 0 3 0 2 11 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 25 6-10 0-0 6-8 8 4 0 0 18 - -
Tre Jones 24 3-5 0-1 1-4 4 4 3 2 7 - -
Joshua Primo 22 2-6 1-4 1-2 6 2 0 1 6 - -
Romeo Langford 16 3-4 0-1 1-4 1 0 0 0 7 - -
Jock Landale 13 4-5 0-1 0-0 4 3 0 1 8 - -
Zach Collins 9 1-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter