Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.7% | 74.3% | +5.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +8 (111-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 35 | 5-19 | 2-9 | 5-7 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gobert * | 34 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale * | 30 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 30 | 7-11 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 25 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jordan Clarkson | 29 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 13 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Hassan Whiteside | 13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Trent Forrest | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 40 | 7-15 | 5-9 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 38 | 8-14 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 37 | 12-23 | 5-11 | 6-7 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 35 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 34 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 21 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 27 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 18 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter