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2022-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 36.5% 63.5% -
Bradley-Terry 44.3% 55.7% -
Margin 39.4% 60.6% +2.4 (12.6 off)
Pythagorean 43.8% 56.2% -
Efficiency 33.9% 66.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.2% 61.8% -
Log Adjusted 38.3% 61.7% -
Points Off/Def 37.3% 62.7% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +15 (121-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 39 6-17 0-2 11-12 11 8 0 0 23 - -
Zach LaVine * 37 8-19 3-6 5-8 8 5 0 0 24 - -
Javonte Green * 36 2-7 1-3 0-0 6 2 1 0 5 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 31 5-12 0-2 1-2 3 4 2 0 11 - -
Tristan Thompson * 29 6-8 0-0 1-2 9 0 0 0 13 - -
Coby White 34 7-16 3-9 2-2 4 2 0 1 19 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 21 4-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 3 8 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Tony Bradley 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 38 5-15 1-5 5-6 8 14 0 0 16 - -
Tobias Harris * 36 4-10 0-3 0-1 3 3 0 0 8 - -
Joel Embiid * 36 15-27 1-3 12-16 14 2 2 3 43 - -
Tyrese Maxey * 36 6-13 2-5 3-3 1 4 1 0 17 - -
Matisse Thybulle * 27 4-5 1-1 3-4 1 0 0 0 12 - -
Georges Niang 18 4-7 4-7 2-2 3 2 0 0 14 - -
Shake Milton 13 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Isaiah Joe 11 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
DeAndre Jordan 10 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 2 1 1 2 - -
Danny Green 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 1 1 1 3 - -
Paul Reed 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter