Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.5% | 53.5% | +0.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +3 (113-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bogdan Bogdanovic * | 39 | 8-19 | 2-11 | 4-4 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - | |
| Trae Young * | 38 | 5-20 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 37 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 32 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 18 | - | |
| John Collins * | 31 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - | |
| Delon Wright | 26 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 21 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - | |
| Lou Williams | 16 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - | |
| Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 43 | 10-25 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 21 | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 34 | 8-15 | 3-7 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 14 | - | |
| Saddiq Bey * | 32 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - | |
| Cory Joseph * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III | 36 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - | |
| Killian Hayes | 30 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - | |
| Isaiah Livers | 24 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - | |
| Rodney McGruder | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter