Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.4% | 83.6% | +8.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +8 (138-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum * | 43 | 9-19 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Brandon Ingram * | 40 | 12-24 | 3-7 | 11-13 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 38 | - | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 39 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 30 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Willy Hernangomez | 22 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tony Snell | 21 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 20 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jose Alvarado | 10 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon * | 42 | 9-17 | 0-5 | 10-15 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 28 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 42 | 16-22 | 3-5 | 11-12 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 46 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 36 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 34 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 24 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 24 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 18 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 16 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 14 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| DeMarcus Cousins | 10 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
* = starter