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2022-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 25.8% 74.2% -
Bradley-Terry 54.2% 45.8% -
Margin 58.5% 41.5% -1.9 (12.9 off)
Pythagorean 65.5% 34.5% -
Efficiency 85.5% 14.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 83.9% 16.1% -
Log Adjusted 83.9% 16.1% -
Points Off/Def 73.6% 26.4% -

Actual: Houston Rockets +11 (123-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Steven Adams * 36 9-11 0-0 5-9 12 5 1 3 23 - -
Desmond Bane * 36 11-22 4-9 2-2 2 3 2 1 28 - -
Ja Morant * 35 7-20 0-3 8-8 4 6 2 0 22 - -
Ziaire Williams * 17 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 12 4-8 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 1 8 - -
Brandon Clarke 27 3-5 0-1 2-2 5 1 0 1 8 - -
De'Anthony Melton 25 2-8 0-3 1-2 2 3 1 1 5 - -
Tyus Jones 20 4-11 1-4 0-0 3 6 2 0 9 - -
Kyle Anderson 17 1-6 0-2 1-4 5 2 2 1 3 - -
John Konchar 10 2-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Porter Jr. * 37 11-21 4-10 3-5 2 5 0 1 29 - -
Christian Wood * 37 8-12 4-7 8-11 13 1 1 2 28 - -
Jalen Green * 34 8-17 2-7 6-9 8 4 0 0 24 - -
Eric Gordon * 31 4-10 1-5 3-4 6 2 0 0 12 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 27 2-6 0-1 0-0 7 3 1 0 4 - -
Garrison Mathews 24 3-3 2-2 2-3 3 1 2 0 10 - -
Alperen Sengun 22 2-4 0-1 2-4 1 4 0 2 6 - -
Josh Christopher 16 4-6 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 8 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter