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2022-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 33.2% 66.8% -
Bradley-Terry 32.9% 67.1% -
Margin 22.2% 77.8% +6.9 (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 47.5% 52.5% -
Efficiency 44.9% 55.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.7% 51.3% -
Log Adjusted 48.7% 51.3% -
Points Off/Def 44.9% 55.1% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +8 (104-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 41 8-14 0-2 3-6 12 6 3 0 19 - -
Pascal Siakam * 40 8-22 1-4 7-13 4 4 1 1 24 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 38 7-19 2-8 3-4 3 1 2 0 19 - -
Chris Boucher * 35 8-13 3-5 2-2 7 1 3 1 21 - -
Khem Birch * 26 2-6 0-0 1-1 8 3 2 1 5 - -
Precious Achiuwa 20 4-10 0-1 0-0 6 0 2 0 8 - -
Thaddeus Young 14 0-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -
Dalano Banton 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Yuta Watanabe 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Armoni Brooks 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 3 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lauri Markkanen * 37 8-18 3-12 3-4 12 0 0 1 22 - -
Evan Mobley * 36 9-15 1-1 1-5 17 4 0 3 20 - -
Darius Garland * 33 5-12 1-5 6-6 3 10 2 0 17 - -
Isaac Okoro * 22 1-7 0-3 0-0 4 1 0 1 2 - -
Jarrett Allen * 10 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 6 - -
Cedi Osman 32 7-16 3-9 0-0 1 3 2 0 17 - -
Kevin Love 29 4-8 3-5 4-4 9 1 0 0 15 - -
Dean Wade 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Brandon Goodwin 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 5 1 0 0 - -
Ed Davis 6 1-1 0-0 1-4 5 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter