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2022-03-06

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 64.6% 35.4% -
Bradley-Terry 56.1% 43.9% -
Margin 66.4% 33.6% -3.7 (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 58.5% 41.5% -
Efficiency 75.6% 24.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.4% 23.6% -
Log Adjusted 76.5% 23.5% -
Points Off/Def 65.1% 34.9% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +8 (124-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 35 13-22 4-9 0-0 4 1 0 0 30 13 -
Andrew Wiggins * 32 6-15 2-4 0-2 5 4 3 0 14 11 -
Klay Thompson * 31 3-13 1-5 0-0 6 4 1 3 7 8 -
Otto Porter Jr. * 24 3-9 0-2 4-4 10 3 1 0 10 15 -
Kevon Looney * 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 5 -
Jordan Poole 32 9-15 4-8 1-1 1 5 1 0 23 15 -
Jonathan Kuminga 28 7-10 3-5 1-3 5 0 2 0 18 15 -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 21 1-3 0-0 3-8 5 5 2 0 5 14 -
Moses Moody 20 4-4 1-1 0-1 1 0 0 0 9 6 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 38 19-31 6-11 12-13 10 3 0 1 56 39 -
Austin Reaves * 33 3-7 3-5 1-1 5 2 3 2 10 15 -
Russell Westbrook * 32 9-17 1-3 1-2 4 4 0 0 20 11 -
Malik Monk * 31 4-10 4-9 0-0 6 5 3 1 12 17 -
Stanley Johnson * 26 2-7 0-3 0-0 6 4 2 1 4 10 -
Carmelo Anthony 24 5-8 2-3 2-3 8 0 1 1 14 16 -
D.J. Augustin 19 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 4 0 0 6 8 -
Talen Horton-Tucker 17 0-3 0-1 2-2 1 2 1 0 2 3 -
Avery Bradley 16 0-2 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 4 -

* = starter