Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.4% | 67.6% | +4.0 | ✓ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +17 (99-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobias Harris * | 37 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Joel Embiid * | 36 | 4-15 | 0-6 | 14-14 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Maxey * | 35 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Matisse Thybulle * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Furkan Korkmaz * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Shake Milton | 24 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 23 | 4-11 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Danny Green | 20 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap | 9 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Paul Reed | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 33 | 6-15 | 1-2 | 8-11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 31 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent * | 29 | 6-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 25 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 17 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 34 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 27 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 21 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kyle Guy | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Javonte Smart | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter