Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.6% | 45.4% | -1.0 | ✗ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets +6 (123-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 37 | 14-24 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 34 | 9-21 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 29 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 29 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott * | 22 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Joshua Primo | 25 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 18 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 17 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Washington * | 37 | 6-13 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 35 | 10-18 | 6-8 | 5-5 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Miles Bridges * | 35 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| LaMelo Ball * | 29 | 7-16 | 4-9 | 6-6 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Cody Martin | 30 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | 24 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Montrezl Harrell | 16 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| JT Thor | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter