Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.7% | 74.3% | +5.8 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +1 (114-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 40 | 18-31 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 44 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 38 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 31 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday * | 29 | 4-12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 18 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 33 | 3-10 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 23 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Bullock * | 41 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 37 | 8-15 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 35 | 11-22 | 2-7 | 12-13 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 36 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 33 | 6-13 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 28 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 14 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter