Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.1% | 73.9% | +5.7 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +15 (116-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Wood * | 31 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 31 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 31 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 30 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 23 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 28 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun | 22 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 1-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 18 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 17 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trevelin Queen | 2 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon * | 29 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 29 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 27 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 26 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| DeMarcus Cousins * | 23 | 10-14 | 3-4 | 8-9 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 24 | 6-14 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 20 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 19 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 18 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter