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2022-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 36.5% 63.5% -
Bradley-Terry 49.0% 51.0% -
Margin 51.6% 48.4% -0.3 (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.7% 49.3% -
Efficiency 62.0% 38.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.9% 42.1% -
Log Adjusted 57.9% 42.1% -
Points Off/Def 50.9% 49.1% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -6 (112-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khris Middleton * 38 9-15 1-4 3-4 6 7 0 0 22 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 38 12-22 0-2 10-19 16 5 2 1 34 - -
Jrue Holiday * 37 10-20 3-6 3-4 8 5 0 1 26 - -
Bobby Portis * 31 5-9 2-4 0-0 7 0 1 1 12 - -
Grayson Allen * 30 2-6 1-5 2-2 4 0 0 0 7 - -
Wesley Matthews 23 2-7 1-4 2-2 1 1 1 0 7 - -
Jevon Carter 13 3-4 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 8 - -
Jordan Nwora 13 0-2 0-2 2-2 4 2 1 1 2 - -
Serge Ibaka 12 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Lindell Wigginton 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 39 11-30 2-3 5-5 3 5 1 1 29 - -
Zach LaVine * 38 13-26 3-10 1-3 8 6 1 0 30 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 35 4-7 0-2 0-0 5 7 1 0 8 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 34 8-13 2-4 1-2 9 2 2 0 19 - -
Tristan Thompson * 20 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Javonte Green 24 4-5 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 1 9 - -
Coby White 23 1-4 1-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 3 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 16 2-3 0-0 1-1 4 1 0 0 5 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 8 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -

* = starter