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2022-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 66.5% 33.5% -
Bradley-Terry 60.2% 39.8% -
Margin 70.0% 30.0% -4.7 (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 53.6% 46.4% -
Efficiency 64.9% 35.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.5% 36.5% -
Log Adjusted 63.5% 36.5% -
Points Off/Def 55.0% 45.0% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -3 (114-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Andre Hunter * 34 8-12 3-5 7-7 2 1 1 0 26 18 -
Trae Young * 34 6-22 3-11 10-11 4 8 0 0 25 15 -
Danilo Gallinari * 26 3-9 2-5 2-2 3 1 0 0 10 5 -
Clint Capela * 23 5-9 0-0 2-4 12 0 0 3 12 18 -
Kevin Huerter * 22 2-7 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 5 1 -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 34 7-17 3-8 0-0 6 2 2 0 17 10 -
Delon Wright 25 1-3 0-1 3-4 2 2 2 1 5 9 -
John Collins 24 4-9 0-3 1-2 6 1 1 1 9 9 -
Lou Williams 13 2-3 1-1 3-4 2 2 0 0 8 9 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 35 9-21 0-6 4-4 5 11 0 2 22 19 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 30 10-12 6-6 2-3 5 5 0 0 28 26 -
Raul Neto * 27 3-9 1-2 0-0 5 7 0 0 7 10 -
Corey Kispert * 25 4-10 1-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 9 4 -
Daniel Gafford * 18 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 2 4 8 -
Rui Hachimura 25 7-10 3-4 2-2 6 1 1 0 19 17 -
Deni Avdija 22 3-4 3-4 0-0 3 3 0 1 9 12 -
Thomas Bryant 21 6-8 0-2 0-0 6 3 0 1 12 14 -
Ish Smith 17 2-6 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 4 3 -
Tomas Satoransky 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 3 -

* = starter