Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.3% | 59.7% | +2.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +5 (111-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buddy Hield * | 38 | 7-20 | 1-10 | 1-1 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 36 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 36 | 9-23 | 2-5 | 6-8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett * | 28 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 28 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Duane Washington Jr. | 19 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Terry Taylor | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Lance Stephenson | 9 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saddiq Bey * | 36 | 8-15 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Cade Cunningham * | 32 | 8-20 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III | 21 | 9-16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes | 20 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Rodney McGruder | 15 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 14 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Livers | 5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter