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2022-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 65.4% 34.6% -
Bradley-Terry 38.0% 62.0% -
Margin 35.2% 64.8% +3.4 (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 32.9% 67.1% -
Efficiency 17.2% 82.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.8% 81.2% -
Log Adjusted 18.7% 81.3% -
Points Off/Def 24.6% 75.4% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors -2 (106-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 38 9-20 4-9 0-0 12 5 2 1 22 - -
Saddiq Bey * 37 8-19 3-12 4-6 6 3 0 1 23 - -
Jerami Grant * 34 8-14 2-5 8-9 3 4 0 0 26 - -
Cory Joseph * 32 1-4 0-2 3-3 3 6 1 1 5 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 29 5-7 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 2 10 - -
Kelly Olynyk 18 2-5 0-1 1-2 3 2 0 0 5 - -
Killian Hayes 18 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 - -
Hamidou Diallo 15 3-6 0-0 5-8 4 0 1 0 11 - -
Rodney McGruder 10 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Isaiah Livers 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 42 10-15 0-0 8-10 5 2 1 0 28 - -
Scottie Barnes * 39 7-13 1-3 6-8 10 2 1 1 21 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 38 4-23 3-15 3-3 2 4 2 0 14 - -
Malachi Flynn * 27 4-6 2-3 1-1 3 1 1 0 11 - -
Khem Birch * 20 1-5 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 2 - -
Precious Achiuwa 28 6-13 1-3 5-9 7 0 0 0 18 - -
Chris Boucher 26 2-4 0-1 1-2 10 0 0 1 5 - -
Dalano Banton 13 2-4 0-1 1-1 1 1 0 1 5 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter