Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Brooklyn Nets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.0% | 39.0% | -2.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Brooklyn Nets -6 (107-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Strus * | 35 | 6-12 | 6-12 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 33 | 12-15 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 34 | - | |
| Gabe Vincent * | 32 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 31 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven * | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 36 | 8-11 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 21 | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 34 | 8-19 | 1-5 | 10-10 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 21 | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth Curry * | 35 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - | |
| Kevin Durant * | 35 | 10-21 | 2-7 | 9-9 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 19 | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 32 | 8-13 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 18 | - | |
| Goran Dragic * | 27 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - | |
| Andre Drummond * | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - | |
| Patty Mills | 30 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - | |
| LaMarcus Aldridge | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - | |
| Cam Thomas | 16 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - | |
| James Johnson | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - | |
| Nic Claxton | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter