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2022-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 13.6% 86.4% -
Bradley-Terry 32.6% 67.4% -
Margin 25.1% 74.9% +6.0 (7.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% -
Efficiency 42.4% 57.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.4% 56.6% -
Log Adjusted 43.4% 56.6% -
Points Off/Def 41.5% 58.5% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +13 (120-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 36 13-29 4-12 8-8 4 7 0 0 38 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 35 9-18 1-5 1-2 7 1 0 1 20 - -
Desmond Bane * 33 6-14 5-10 0-0 7 1 1 0 17 - -
Steven Adams * 26 2-4 0-0 0-0 8 4 0 0 4 - -
Ziaire Williams * 15 2-6 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Kyle Anderson 24 3-7 0-1 0-0 5 4 6 0 6 - -
Brandon Clarke 21 4-7 0-0 1-3 2 1 0 1 9 - -
De'Anthony Melton 18 2-7 1-4 0-0 7 1 2 0 5 - -
John Konchar 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 2 0 - -
Tyus Jones 13 1-6 1-4 0-0 1 4 0 0 3 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Al Horford * 39 8-16 4-8 1-1 15 5 0 2 21 - -
Jayson Tatum * 38 14-25 2-7 7-8 6 5 0 1 37 - -
Robert Williams III * 35 5-6 0-0 0-0 12 3 3 3 10 - -
Marcus Smart * 34 7-17 4-9 0-0 2 12 0 0 18 - -
Aaron Nesmith * 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 - -
Grant Williams 34 4-6 3-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 11 - -
Derrick White 25 4-10 2-4 2-3 4 2 0 1 12 - -
Payton Pritchard 13 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 5 - -
Daniel Theis 12 2-4 0-2 2-3 6 2 0 0 6 - -

* = starter