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2022-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 34.1% 65.9% -
Bradley-Terry 25.3% 74.7% -
Margin 15.3% 84.7% +9.4 (20.6 off)
Pythagorean 25.4% 74.6% -
Efficiency 6.0% 94.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.4% 92.6% -
Log Adjusted 7.3% 92.7% -
Points Off/Def 15.5% 84.5% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +30 (120-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ Elleby * 34 2-6 0-3 6-8 4 1 1 1 10 - -
Anfernee Simons * 28 4-10 3-4 0-0 0 6 1 0 11 - -
Josh Hart * 23 2-9 1-5 5-7 4 4 2 0 10 - -
Elijah Hughes * 22 1-8 1-6 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Drew Eubanks * 17 5-6 0-0 3-4 8 0 1 0 13 - -
Trendon Watford 30 5-12 2-2 1-2 7 6 0 1 13 - -
Greg Brown III 19 1-3 0-0 1-1 6 1 2 0 3 - -
Keon Johnson 19 0-6 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -
Ben McLemore 17 3-7 2-6 0-0 2 1 2 0 8 - -
Brandon Williams 14 5-8 1-1 3-3 3 1 0 0 14 - -
Keljin Blevins 12 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 5 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 28 6-9 2-5 1-1 0 2 2 0 15 - -
Deandre Ayton * 25 9-12 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 0 18 - -
Jae Crowder * 24 3-6 2-4 7-9 5 4 5 0 15 - -
Landry Shamet * 22 4-12 2-8 2-2 3 1 1 0 12 - -
Cameron Payne * 20 2-8 1-3 0-0 2 8 2 1 5 - -
Aaron Holiday 27 3-9 0-2 3-3 3 9 1 0 9 - -
Cameron Johnson 24 6-8 4-5 4-4 4 4 1 0 20 - -
Torrey Craig 23 3-8 2-6 5-6 4 1 1 0 13 - -
Ish Wainright 15 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 - -
JaVale McGee 13 1-2 0-0 3-4 9 1 0 4 5 - -
Bismack Biyombo 8 1-2 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 1 3 - -
Elfrid Payton 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter