Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.2% | 52.8% | +0.6 | ✗ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -12 (107-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 36 | 10-23 | 3-5 | 6-8 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann * | 35 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby * | 33 | 9-13 | 4-5 | 4-7 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 26 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley * | 32 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Vit Krejci | 20 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 18 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Theo Maledon | 18 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Olivier Sarr | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 32 | 10-17 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 27 | 4-12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 26 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 25 | 1-10 | 0-9 | 4-4 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 26 | 5-12 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 22 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 21 | 6-8 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 20 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| DeMarcus Cousins | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter