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2022-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 46.9% 53.1% -
Bradley-Terry 48.7% 51.3% -
Margin 46.9% 53.1% +0.7 (29.3 off)
Pythagorean 42.1% 57.9% -
Efficiency 30.9% 69.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.0% 67.0% -
Log Adjusted 32.9% 67.1% -
Points Off/Def 34.9% 65.1% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +30 (125-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 37 9-18 1-6 6-9 2 3 0 0 25 12 -
Domantas Sabonis * 33 6-16 0-2 3-3 14 7 1 0 15 21 -
Harrison Barnes * 30 6-11 3-6 4-5 4 1 1 0 19 14 -
Justin Holiday * 23 1-4 1-3 2-2 3 0 1 1 5 6 -
Trey Lyles * 19 1-5 1-3 1-2 4 0 0 1 4 4 -
Jeremy Lamb 26 5-10 1-4 1-2 3 1 1 0 12 7 -
Donte DiVincenzo 24 3-9 1-5 0-0 5 4 4 0 7 11 -
Davion Mitchell 22 2-9 0-4 0-0 1 4 0 0 4 0 -
Damian Jones 14 2-4 0-1 0-2 1 0 1 2 4 4 -
Chimezie Metu 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Josh Jackson 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 34 7-16 2-7 1-1 6 9 1 0 17 17 -
Brandon Ingram * 31 15-19 2-3 1-2 5 6 0 0 33 25 -
Jonas Valanciunas * 31 7-13 1-1 2-2 14 2 0 1 17 21 -
Herbert Jones * 31 5-7 2-4 2-2 6 0 2 3 14 18 -
Jaxson Hayes * 27 5-6 0-0 3-3 7 4 0 1 13 19 -
Tony Snell 23 2-7 0-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 4 1 -
Devonte' Graham 21 1-6 1-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 3 2 -
Naji Marshall 16 7-9 2-4 1-2 3 1 0 0 17 12 -
Jose Alvarado 14 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 4 6 -
Gary Clark 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
Alize Johnson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Trey Murphy III 2 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 3 -

* = starter