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2022-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 22.2% 77.8% -
Bradley-Terry 45.5% 54.5% -
Margin 44.9% 55.1% +1.1 (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 54.0% 46.0% -
Efficiency 63.0% 37.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.6% 39.4% -
Log Adjusted 60.7% 39.3% -
Points Off/Def 51.8% 48.2% -

Actual: Orlando Magic -8 (114-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Buddy Hield * 44 6-17 4-12 1-1 6 3 2 0 17 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 41 8-18 3-5 12-15 11 8 2 1 31 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 40 7-16 3-10 4-6 3 6 3 2 21 - -
Oshae Brissett * 28 1-7 1-3 3-4 7 2 1 1 6 - -
Isaiah Jackson * 22 8-8 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 1 16 - -
Jalen Smith 37 4-7 1-3 6-6 15 0 1 1 15 - -
Terry Taylor 17 3-4 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 1 6 - -
Duane Washington Jr. 17 1-9 0-3 1-1 0 2 2 0 3 - -
Lance Stephenson 13 3-8 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 7 - -
Goga Bitadze 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wendell Carter Jr. * 40 5-12 0-2 3-5 18 5 1 1 13 - -
Cole Anthony * 38 4-13 0-4 3-3 2 4 2 1 11 - -
Franz Wagner * 36 10-18 4-6 4-4 6 1 2 0 28 - -
Mo Bamba * 33 8-9 2-2 1-1 12 0 1 1 19 - -
Jalen Suggs * 33 6-15 0-4 2-4 4 5 1 0 14 - -
Chuma Okeke 19 2-10 1-6 0-0 4 3 3 1 5 - -
R.J. Hampton 16 2-4 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Terrence Ross 16 2-6 2-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 6 - -
Markelle Fultz 14 5-6 0-0 1-1 3 2 1 1 11 - -
Gary Harris 10 0-3 0-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Admiral Schofield 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter