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2022-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 19.7% 80.3% -
Bradley-Terry 20.8% 79.2% -
Margin 12.4% 87.6% +10.7 (31.7 off)
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% -
Efficiency 39.3% 60.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.0% 61.0% -
Log Adjusted 38.9% 61.1% -
Points Off/Def 38.9% 61.1% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -21 (98-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles Bridges * 36 7-12 1-4 0-0 7 6 1 1 15 - -
Terry Rozier * 33 9-19 5-9 6-6 7 7 2 1 29 - -
Mason Plumlee * 28 2-3 0-0 3-6 8 3 1 1 7 - -
P.J. Washington * 28 5-5 2-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 12 - -
LaMelo Ball * 7 0-3 0-1 2-2 0 4 2 0 2 - -
Cody Martin 33 2-5 2-4 2-2 2 2 2 0 8 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 27 7-15 5-11 0-0 4 5 0 1 19 - -
Montrezl Harrell 16 4-9 0-0 3-4 9 1 0 0 11 - -
Isaiah Thomas 14 4-11 2-7 0-0 5 3 2 0 10 - -
JT Thor 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 4 - -
Kai Jones 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Nick Richards 2 1-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jarrett Allen * 33 7-9 0-0 4-5 11 0 2 1 18 - -
Darius Garland * 32 13-22 5-10 2-4 3 4 1 0 33 - -
Evan Mobley * 30 4-9 0-1 1-2 5 2 0 0 9 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 30 3-10 2-6 4-4 5 3 2 0 12 - -
Isaac Okoro * 28 2-6 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 4 - -
Cedi Osman 19 3-6 2-5 1-2 1 4 0 0 9 - -
Kevin Love 17 2-5 1-3 2-4 1 5 0 0 7 - -
Lamar Stevens 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Brandon Goodwin 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 - -
Dean Wade 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
RJ Nembhard Jr. 4 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Dylan Windler 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Tim Frazier 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Ed Davis 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter