Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.5% | 45.5% | -1.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -5 (104-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 39 | 6-10 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 37 | 9-21 | 0-5 | 7-11 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 25 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 36 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 33 | 9-15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 27 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 24 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 10 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Monk * | 39 | 5-14 | 3-6 | 4-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 38 | 5-17 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| LeBron James * | 38 | 10-18 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Stanley Johnson * | 22 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Austin Reaves * | 16 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Talen Horton-Tucker | 33 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Carmelo Anthony | 30 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kent Bazemore | 17 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dwight Howard | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter